kapynPolicy & Regulation

Microsoft publishes Nobel economist's bearish AI forecast of just 1.5% GDP growth over a decade

Microsoft shares Nobel economist Daron Acemoglu’s pessimistic AI growth forecast. He predicts only 1.5% GDP growth over ten years and a maximum of five percent of jobs displaced by AI. Acemoglu argues larger models won’t drive economic change without practical applications that transform work.

The Decoder·Oct 6, 2026

Opening Kapyn…